THE DONALD vs IRAN
IRAN IS OUT OF CONTROL - THANKS OBAMA !
ABOVE: Remember this? A disaster in the making: US Secretary of State John Kerry and Iran Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif congratulate the nuclear deal.
Revision date: 01 April 2017
One of POTUS Trump's campaign platforms was that he would renegotiate the Iran nuclear deal if elected POTUS. People are stillthirsty for an American success story in international affairs and the Iran issue needs attention.
FORTUNE's 21 November article on the political difficulties faced by a renegotiation generally concentrates on the fact that Europe, Russia and Iran do not favor a departure from the treaty agreement. After all, they have profited from the deal. However, because the Obama Administration negotiated so poorly, there has not been much benefit to the US (and Israel) except of course for a delay in Iran's nuclear weapon development timeline.
(Continued from above)
One way or another, Iran will be able to produce an atomic weapon. It is not a question of if, it is a question of when. Everyone knows that the actions of Iran promote the expansion of influence in the former Persian areas of the Middle East and Asia Minor. This includes the region from Lebanon in the east to Pakistan in the West. As reported by REUTERS, this is partly why Iran has threatened the USA if the deal is interfered with by the Trump Administration.
Meanwhile the war in Yemen rages on. This war is going to be Saudi Arabia's Vietnam. We think that US and UK support of Saudi Arabia is only for the sake of selling weaponry for big bucks. Fighting Iran through the Yemen proxy will ultimately erode Saudi Arabia - maybe that's a good thing...?
Many have stated that the lack of a deal would accelerate Iran's nuclear program - and be aided by Russia. It seems that the opposite is true. Russia has been helping Iran for several years now. Furthermore, can Tehran be trusted to not use these weapons to further their goals of regional domination through intimidation, especially over Israel and Saudi Arabia? Recall Iran's "capture" of adrift USN patrol personnel and firing on the USN off Yemen and their growing harassment of US Navy ships in the gulf.
There does not seem to be a chance of improving the deal now, but a new strategy of counter-action is badly needed. America's ability to gain advantage diminishes with every passing day. There is also an increasing risk to Iran's detractors in the region as the conflict in Yemen adds to destabilization of the area.
A realignment of the Saudi position may also result, because without some form of wider-based regional treaty the Saudi's days are numbered.
POTUS Trump and his cabinet are keenly aware of this spider web of problems, but the clock is ticking.